{
"financial_years": [
"2020",
"2021",
"2022",
"2023",
"2024",
"2025"
],
"revenue_history": [
921.14,
1016.11,
1479.65,
1792.04,
2759.1,
3452.32
],
"net_profit_history": [
55.34,
48.47,
52.6,
53.08,
168.12,
168.52
],
"roe_history": [
9.37,
7.33,
7.32,
6.82,
19.89,
18.84
],
"gross_margin_history": [
16.0,
17.14,
14.12,
15.3,
15.9,
16.61
],
"net_margin_history": [
6.05,
4.28,
3.14,
2.75,
6.99,
4.82
],
"roe": "18.8%",
"roic": "8.3%",
"net_margin": "4.8%",
"gross_margin": "16.6%",
"revenue_growth_yoy": 25.12,
"revenue_growth": "+25.1%",
"revenue_growth_period": "2025-12-31",
"revenue_growth_basis": "reported_yoy",
"revenue_growth_source": "akshare.stock_financial_hk_analysis_indicator_em:OPERATE_INCOME_YOY",
"profit_growth": "0.2%",
"financial_health": {
"debt_ratio": 67.8,
"current_ratio": 0.89,
"roic": 8.29,
"fcf_margin": null
},
"eps": 1.67,
"bps": 8.57,
"currency": "人民币",
"revenue": "3452亿元",
"net_profit": "168.52亿元",
"revenue_yoy": "+25%",
"net_profit_yoy": "+0.2%",
"core_net_profit": "144.1亿元",
"core_net_profit_yoy": "+36%",
"debt_ratio": "59.71%",
"fcf": "472.74亿元",
"cash_reserve": "682亿元",
"gross_profit": "573.47亿元",
"dividend_per_share": "0.50港元",
"dividend_yoy": "+52%"
}
{
"_valuation_source": "basic",
"pe": "8.844958989619",
"pb": "1.54109186893",
"pe_quantile": "—",
"pb_quantile": "—"
}
{
"scores": {
"brand": 7,
"switching_cost": 4,
"network_effect": 3,
"cost_advantage": 7,
"scale": 8,
"overall": 6
},
"commentary": "吉利护城河中等偏强:规模效应显著(302 万辆 / 行业前三)、多品牌矩阵(吉利/极氪/领克覆盖 10-50 万价格带)、自研电池 + 智驾降低对外依赖、全球化布局(88 国 1200+ 网点)。弱点:汽车行业竞争激烈,品牌溢价弱于 BBA / 特斯拉,转换成本低(消费者可自由切换品牌)。"
}
{
"kline_count": 684,
"indicators": {
"last_close": 15.56,
"ma5": 15.075999999999999,
"ma10": 14.95,
"ma20": 15.4315,
"ma60": 17.2925,
"ma120": 18.382173333333334,
"ma200": 18.18159,
"above_ma20": true,
"above_ma200": false,
"ma_bull_alignment": false,
"macd_dif": -0.5241076239891083,
"macd_dea": -0.6247373905586207,
"macd_hist": 0.20125953313902478,
"macd_golden_cross": false,
"rsi_14": 47.961630695443645,
"kdj_k": 47.6,
"kdj_d": 36.3,
"kdj_j": 70.3,
"obv": 2642871742.0,
"obv_trend_up": false,
"williams_r": -33.2,
"year_high": 24.3359,
"year_low": 14.55,
"pct_from_year_high": -36.06153871440957,
"stage": 4,
"vol_5_vs_20": 1.0916475853836778,
"vcp_score": 0.19759173224613646
},
"stage": "Stage 4 下跌",
"ma_align": "非多头",
"macd": "水下",
"rsi": "48",
"chip_distribution": {},
"candles_60d": [
{
"date": "2026-07-21",
"open": 18.69,
"close": 18.62,
"high": 18.78,
"low": 18.27
},
{
"date": "2026-07-22",
"open": 18.28,
"close": 17.93,
"high": 18.37,
"low": 17.81
},
{
"date": "2026-07-23",
"open": 18.01,
"close": 18.52,
"high": 18.55,
"low": 17.92
},
{
"date": "2026-07-24",
"open": 18.7,
"close": 19.06,
"high": 19.3,
"low": 18.6
},
{
"date": "2026-07-27",
"open": 19.1,
"close": 18.82,
"
... (truncated)
{
"commentary": "港股无北向资金/两融数据。港股通南向资金数据有限,暂缺。",
"status": "N/A"
}
{
"_note": "lhb only A-share"
}
{
"peers": [
{
"name": "比亚迪",
"code": "01211.HK",
"market_cap": "7500亿HKD",
"pe": 22,
"pb": 5.2
},
{
"name": "长城汽车",
"code": "02333.HK",
"market_cap": "1200亿HKD",
"pe": 12,
"pb": 1.8
},
{
"name": "广汽集团",
"code": "02232.HK",
"market_cap": "800亿HKD",
"pe": 15,
"pb": 0.9
},
{
"name": "长安汽车",
"code": "000625.SZ",
"market_cap": "1500亿CNY",
"pe": 18,
"pb": 2.1
}
],
"commentary": "港股汽车同行:比亚迪(龙头 PE 22)、长城(PE 12)、广汽(PE 15)。吉利 PE 8.84 低于同行均值,估值便宜。"
}
{
"upstream": "电池(神盾金砖电池自研 + 外部宁德时代/比亚迪弗迪)、芯片(Mobileye/NVIDIA Orin/自研)、钢材/铝材、电驱系统(自研 + 外部供应商)、智能驾驶传感器(激光雷达/摄像头)",
"downstream": "经销商网络(国内 + 88 国 1200+ 网点)、出行平台(曹操出行)、终端消费者(个人/企业/租赁)、售后服务体系"
}
{
"industry": "中国汽车制造",
"tam": "2025 年中国汽车销量 3400 万辆,新能源 1246 万辆(+23.2%),渗透率 50.3%",
"growth": "2026E 国内汽车销量 2800 万辆(+2%),新能源 1550 万辆(渗透率 55%+)",
"trend": "新能源渗透率 2026 年 4 月首次破 60%(零售),出口 2026Q1 +53%",
"competition": "比亚迪(龙头)、吉利、长安、奇瑞、理想、零跑、小米;合资品牌份额持续萎缩",
"source": "中汽协 / 乘联会 / 汽车之家 2026"
}
{
"main_materials": "锂电池(占成本 30-40%)、钢材/铝材(车身 20-25%)、芯片(10-15%)、电驱系统",
"cost_structure": "整车 BOM 成本中电池占比最高,2025 年碳酸锂价格回落至 7-8 万/吨利好毛利",
"hedging": "公司自研神盾金砖电池降低对外依赖,规模效应持续释放",
"source": "吉利 2025 年报 / 行业研报"
}
{
"_autofill": {
"query": "汽车 行业 上下游 期货品种 套保 大宗",
"snippet": "多家上市公司拟开展套期保值应对原材料价格波动 - 今日头条 — Jan 22, 2026 · 本报记者 陈 潇 近期,多种大宗原材料价格持续走高,给下游企业成本端带来一定压力。 在此背景下,相关上市公司密集公告拟开展商品期货;汽车企业大宗商品风险管理专题报告|新能源车|燃油车|价格|橡胶|库存_...上市公司套保潮:1546家A股公司为何集体“上期货” _ 东方财富网应对大宗商品不确定性 套期保值已成A股公司“常规操作”上市公司套保潮:1546家A股公司为何集体“上期货”-东方财富期货上市公司套保潮: 1546家A股公司为何集体“上期货”建投专题 · 浅析汽车制造企业参与套期保值对成本控制的改",
"source": "ddgs"
},
"contract_trend": "多家上市公司拟开展套期保值应对原材料价格波动 - 今日头条 — Jan 22, 2026 · 本报记者 陈 潇 近期,多…"
}
{
"pledge": [],
"insider_trades_1y": [],
"qualitative_search": [
"00175.HK 关联交易 违规 处罚",
"00175.HK 股权激励"
]
}
{
"events": [
"2025 年 5 月:对极氪提交私有化要约(2.566 美元/股或换股),极氪若完成私有化将成为全资附属",
"2025 年 2 月:极氪与领克合并完成",
"2025Q1:发布"千里浩瀚"智驾系统 + "神盾金砖电池"品牌",
"2026 年 3 月 16 日:极氪 8X 预售 37.68-51.68 万,38 分钟小定破 1 万",
"2026 年前 2 月:销量 47.6 万辆,连续 2 月行业第一",
"2026 年 1-2 月:出口连续 2 月超 6 万辆,同比 +129%"
],
"catalyst": "极氪私有化落地、极氪 8X 交付放量、出海加速",
"risk_event": "欧美关税升级、国内价格战、极氪私有化进度不及预期"
}
{
"research": [
{
"firm": "国信证券",
"rating": "优于大市",
"target_price": "HK$50.28",
"date": "2025-05-22"
},
{
"firm": "券商共识",
"rating": "买入/增持",
"target_price": "18-20 HKD",
"date": "2026-03"
}
],
"commentary": "券商普遍看好:国信证券目标价 HK$50.28(DCF),共识评级买入/增持,目标价 18-20 HKD。"
}
{
"_autofill": {
"query": "2026 中国 利率 货币政策 降息 汇率 大宗商品 宏观环境",
"snippet": "2026年央行货币政策定调!事关今年降准降息、人民币汇率 — Mar 11, 2026 · 今年以来,受经济向好、美元指数走弱及季节性结汇等因素影响,人民币对美元汇率有所升值。 但央行并不计划通过以人民币贬值来获取对外贸易;2026年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告 — 2026 年上半年, 中国人民银行综合运用多种货币政策工具,向市场提供短中长期流动性,保 持银行体系流动性充裕。完善短期利率调控机制, 新增公开市场隔夜逆回购操;2026年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告 — 2026 年以来,中国人民银行以习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想为指导,全 面贯彻落实党的二十大、二十届历次全会和中央经济工作",
"source": "ddgs"
},
"rate_cycle": "2026年央行货币政策定调!事关今年降准降息、人民币汇率 — Mar 11, 2026 · 今年以来,受经济向好、美元指数走弱及季节性结汇等因素影响,人民币对美…"
}
{
"policy": [
"2026 年以旧换新补贴:报废购新能源 12% 最高 2 万,置换购新能源 8% 最高 1.5 万",
"新能源购置税减免延续,L3 自动驾驶政策落地加速",
"地方两会:多省将汽车产业置于"现代化产业体系"核心,支持智能网联新能源汽车",
"出口:欧盟/美国加征关税(100%),但巴西/东南亚/中东市场高增",
"十五五规划:2026 开局年,消费驱动 + 创新驱动双轮"
],
"impact": "利好吉利:以旧换新刺激换购需求,新能源渗透率提升利好银河/极氪,出口高增利好海外布局",
"risk": "欧美关税壁垒,国内价格战加剧"
}
{
"sentiment": "中性偏多",
"commentary": "港股舆情数据有限。A 股关联标的(吉利产业链)情绪中性偏多。券商研报普遍看好。"
}
{
"trap_level": "N/A",
"commentary": "港股主板上市公司,市值 1439 亿,非杀猪盘标的"
}
{
"commentary": "实盘比赛数据仅 A 股,港股不适用。",
"status": "N/A"
}
| g=1.5% | g=2.0% | g=2.5% | g=3.0% | g=3.5% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WACC 5.0% | HK$70.78 | HK$80.11 | HK$93.23 | HK$113.04 | HK$146.42 |
| WACC 6.0% | HK$54.16 | HK$59.12 | HK$65.53 | HK$74.09 | HK$86.14 |
| WACC 7.0% | HK$43.66 | HK$46.64 | HK$50.28 | HK$54.84 | HK$60.73 |
| WACC 8.0% | HK$36.44 | HK$38.37 | HK$40.65 | HK$43.38 | HK$46.73 |
| WACC 9.0% | HK$31.18 | HK$32.5 | HK$34.01 | HK$35.79 | HK$37.88 |
| METRIC | MIN | MEDIAN | MAX | 目标分位 |
|---|